Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.737687e+00 2.105960 2.505098 2.966637 3.482457 4.038172 4.679081
2025-02-02 1.191377e+00 1.674022 2.246294 2.960683 3.814659 4.789643 5.973690
2025-02-09 7.836356e-01 1.292728 1.955024 2.844444 3.973487 5.327216 7.040997
2025-02-16 5.163219e-01 1.012906 1.723255 2.745521 4.114535 5.825627 8.066511
2025-02-23 3.586313e-01 0.838618 1.590572 2.741365 4.353553 6.437380 9.239773
2025-03-02 2.362223e-01 0.676521 1.437840 2.677621 4.491283 6.909545 10.240377
2025-03-09 1.808833e-01 0.614422 1.424980 2.807171 4.892308 7.732790 11.708790
2025-03-16 1.228465e-01 0.520338 1.337389 2.805827 5.097147 8.290941 12.837913
2025-03-23 9.767512e-02 0.491260 1.358191 2.973758 5.552023 9.199930 14.450230
2025-03-30 7.301848e-02 0.449971 1.346563 3.082739 5.918424 9.991694 15.918281
2025-04-06 5.040641e-02 0.399008 1.304246 3.131587 6.189848 10.652051 17.216982
2025-04-13 2.925880e-02 0.331423 1.210324 3.076427 6.290357 11.064872 18.178416
2025-04-20 1.867497e-02 0.296253 1.183882 3.144854 6.596648 11.793930 19.609697
2025-04-27 1.116410e-02 0.263992 1.156657 3.207885 6.895267 12.518524 21.049031
2025-05-04 4.210674e-03 0.210275 1.057738 3.118926 6.934670 12.856341 21.946464
2025-05-11 1.047145e-03 0.165297 0.965710 3.030070 6.964844 13.175954 22.819221
2025-05-18 1.898599e-04 0.139267 0.921193 3.033802 7.151487 13.734886 24.042685
2025-05-25 2.438957e-07 0.109450 0.850170 2.969516 7.211895 14.097002 24.983123
2025-06-01 NaN 0.104497 0.869463 3.110419 7.644444 15.046629 26.795338
2025-06-08 NaN 0.086807 0.830045 3.109992 7.818144 15.591249 28.017992
2025-06-15 NaN 0.086472 0.865477 3.290423 8.330063 16.679358 30.056904
2025-06-22 NaN 0.080841 0.874734 3.407336 8.726523 17.589305 31.841268
2025-06-29 NaN 0.070875 0.858669 3.459726 9.002721 18.310617 33.352495